Biden has a better chance. He is a male, Hillary was a female. The electorate is very afraid of strong, smart, women. Strangely, even the female electorate. But women seem to like old white guys. They voted for trump and are switching to biden. May e because he is even older. Lol.
I read a poll that shows trump is leading with uneducated white guys, probably mostly in the south with hoods, and is doing well with Latinos. I wonder what the average latino murderer and rapist see in him. Hillary actually had better support from black people. Less so for biden.
But overall, trump loses before putin votes. Of course china is voting for biden so we will have to see who has more votes.